Home > Pseph > Aus 2016

Senate preference scatterplots

The above-the-line preference explorers elsewhere in my 2016 pages allow extremely detailed exploration of ATL votes up to preference 6. Those widgets calculate the numbers on the fly, and for the larger states, these calculations can take quite a while. On this page, I've hard-coded some easily (?) defined cases for a subset of parties, and built a scatterplot tool out of it with three_d.js, with each point in the plot representing one electorate.

The variable selectors are below the plot. For the x-, y-, and z-axes there are two pairs of selectors, each pair defining a preference (set) and a party. Choices are:

(When a "2-6" option is chosen, territory electorates will be excluded from the plot and the correlations.)

The default settings look at One Nation support. The interesting thing is that, looking only at preferencing between One Nation and the majors, you wouldn't be able to guess which side of politics they were on. The x-axis has the ON primary vote, the y-axis has the percentage of LNP voters who preferenced ON 2-6, and the z-axis has the percentage of ALP voters who preferenced ON 2-6. There is some small state-based variation, but the general trends are similar for major party voters from both sides. (Switch from ALP to Grn and the axis extent shortens considerably.)

Coalition parties are grouped together as "LNP" except in WA, where the Liberal Party is coded "LNP" and the Nationals are "Nat".

Mouse controls: Left-click and drag to rotate; alt (Mac)- or ctrl (Windows)-click-drag or middle-click-drag to pan; scroll or shift-click-drag to zoom. Touch screen controls: one finger to rotate; two-finger scroll to pan; pinch to zoom. Click/tap on the cube icons to snap to a side-on view. Mouseover or click/tap on a point to see its name and numbers printed above the plot.

No seat chosen
x = ; y = ; z = ; size = -


Each correlation is calculated on all points with both variables defined; this means that the number of points may vary from entry to entry in this matrix:


Click on a table header to sort.

Posted 2016-10-08.


Home > Pseph > Aus 2016