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2013-07-04

Implied swings to ALP

National-4.2
Qld-1.6
NSW-5.2
Vic-4.3
Tas-9.3
SA-5.6
WA-2.8
ACT-2
NT-4.7

SportsbetCentrebetLuxbet
ElectorateLNPALPp(ALP)LNPALPp(ALP)LNPALPp(ALP)avg p(ALP)swing
Adelaide2.501.500.632.701.400.66nanana0.64-5.55
Aston1.204.000.231.106.000.15nanana0.19-3.80
Ballarat8.001.050.886.501.070.86nanana0.87-5.60
Banks1.204.000.231.303.100.30nanana0.26-4.95
Barker1.0126.000.041.0113.000.07nanana0.05-5.60
Barton2.101.700.552.101.650.56nanana0.56-6.15
Bass1.155.000.191.303.200.29nanana0.24-10.00
Batman13.001.010.9310.001.020.91nanana0.92-16.60
Bendigo5.001.150.814.801.150.81nanana0.81-4.90
Bennelong1.057.000.131.048.500.11nanana0.12-3.75
Berowra1.0126.000.041.0113.000.07nanana0.05-5.20
Blair2.751.400.663.201.300.71nanana0.69-1.70
Blaxland6.001.100.855.501.100.83nanana0.84-6.65
Bonner1.125.000.181.164.500.20nanana0.19-1.90
Boothby1.106.000.151.125.250.18nanana0.17-4.95
Bowman1.019.000.101.037.500.12nanana0.113.35
Braddon1.502.500.381.502.400.38nanana0.38-8.90
Bradfield1.0134.000.031.0115.000.06nanana0.05-5.20
Brand1.851.850.502.001.750.53nanana0.52-3.15
Brisbane1.203.000.291.352.900.32nanana0.30-1.65
Bruce3.751.250.752.901.350.68nanana0.72-4.85
Calare1.0113.000.071.0112.000.08nanana0.071.25
Calwell15.001.010.9413.001.010.93nanana0.93-10.40
Canberra8.001.050.887.001.070.87nanana0.88-2.00
Canning1.086.000.151.106.000.15nanana0.15-2.85
Capricornia2.501.500.632.501.450.63nanana0.63-2.00
Casey1.106.000.151.076.500.14nanana0.15-3.65
Charlton10.001.040.916.001.080.85nanana0.88-6.00
Chifley6.001.100.855.501.100.83nanana0.84-6.75
Chisholm4.501.200.794.001.200.77nanana0.78-1.90
Cook1.0115.000.061.0113.000.07nanana0.072.40
Corangamite1.125.000.181.106.000.15nanana0.17-5.35
Corio13.001.020.939.001.030.90nanana0.91-5.65
Cowan1.0310.000.091.0210.000.09nanana0.09-0.75
Cowper1.0112.000.081.0112.000.08nanana0.080.10
Cunningham10.001.030.919.001.030.90nanana0.90-5.45
Curtin1.0326.000.041.0117.000.06nanana0.05-2.80
Dawson1.174.500.211.184.200.22nanana0.21-1.90
Deakin1.106.000.151.106.000.15nanana0.15-5.95
Denison1.203.500.261.253.500.26nanana0.26-1.80
Dickson1.059.000.101.058.000.12nanana0.11-2.00
Dobell1.253.500.261.303.200.29nanana0.28-8.30
Dunkley1.106.000.151.085.250.17nanana0.16-4.10
Durack1.0221.000.051.0310.000.09nanana0.074.95
Eden-Monaro1.752.000.471.652.100.44nanana0.45-4.85
Fadden1.0310.000.091.0112.000.08nanana0.095.80
Fairfax1.057.000.131.039.000.10nanana0.120.15
Farrer1.0115.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.063.35
Fisher1.098.000.121.087.000.13nanana0.13-2.35
Flinders1.0113.000.071.0113.000.07nanana0.070.00
Flynn1.086.000.151.154.500.20nanana0.18-1.45
Forde1.203.500.261.253.500.26nanana0.26-1.85
Forrest1.0321.000.051.0113.000.07nanana0.06-1.95
Fowler4.501.150.804.001.200.77nanana0.78-4.55
Franklin3.301.300.722.501.450.63nanana0.68-8.75
Fraser13.001.010.9315.001.010.94nanana0.93-3.05
Fremantle5.001.150.813.801.250.75nanana0.78-2.00
Gellibrand26.001.010.9617.001.010.94nanana0.95-4.30
Gilmore1.077.000.131.048.500.11nanana0.12-1.55
Gippsland1.0113.000.071.0113.000.07nanana0.072.40
Goldstein1.0115.000.061.0113.000.07nanana0.07-3.65
Gorton13.001.010.9313.001.010.93nanana0.93-14.55
Grayndler6.501.070.867.501.060.88nanana0.87-14.25
Greenway1.105.500.171.106.000.15nanana0.16-6.50
Grey1.019.000.101.0113.000.07nanana0.092.50
Griffith9.001.050.909.001.020.90nanana0.90-1.15
Groom1.0115.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.067.60
Hasluck1.204.000.231.223.800.24nanana0.24-2.80
Herbert1.253.200.281.303.200.29nanana0.28-0.80
Higgins1.0115.000.061.0113.000.07nanana0.07-4.25
Hindmarsh1.851.850.502.001.750.53nanana0.52-5.90
Hinkler1.018.000.111.0310.000.09nanana0.102.95
Holt10.001.020.9110.001.020.91nanana0.91-6.45
Hotham10.001.020.919.001.030.90nanana0.90-6.70
Hughes1.0113.000.071.039.000.10nanana0.09-3.25
Hume1.0113.000.071.0112.000.08nanana0.07-0.75
Hunter10.001.020.918.001.040.88nanana0.90-5.00
Indi1.056.000.151.058.000.12nanana0.133.00
Isaacs8.001.060.886.001.100.85nanana0.86-4.55
Jagajaga8.001.060.886.251.080.85nanana0.87-5.15
Kennedy8.001.050.889.001.040.90nanana0.89-11.25
Kingsford Smith2.201.600.582.001.750.53nanana0.56-4.50
Kingston10.001.040.918.001.050.88nanana0.89-6.90
Kooyong1.0115.000.061.0113.000.07nanana0.07-2.15
La Trobe1.253.500.261.253.500.26nanana0.26-4.90
Lalor21.001.010.9510.001.020.91nanana0.93-12.70
Leichhardt1.106.000.151.105.500.17nanana0.16-0.85
Lilley2.751.400.662.901.350.68nanana0.67-0.90
Lindsay1.125.000.181.125.500.17nanana0.18-6.30
Lingiari1.552.250.411.702.050.45nanana0.43-4.75
Longman1.204.500.211.303.200.29nanana0.25-1.70
Lyne1.0113.000.071.0210.000.09nanana0.083.70
Lyons3.001.350.693.001.320.69nanana0.69-10.05
Macarthur1.059.000.101.048.500.11nanana0.11-4.40
Mackellar1.0117.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.063.55
Macquarie1.0212.000.081.048.000.12nanana0.10-6.60
Makin8.001.070.886.001.100.85nanana0.86-5.65
Mallee1.0115.000.06nananananana0.0612.85
Maranoa1.0113.000.071.0117.000.06nanana0.0612.20
Maribyrnong15.001.010.949.001.030.90nanana0.92-9.35
Mayo1.0121.000.051.0117.000.06nanana0.05-5.60
McEwen5.001.150.814.001.200.77nanana0.79-5.05
McMahon3.301.300.723.501.250.74nanana0.73-4.60
McMillan1.015.000.171.164.500.20nanana0.19-0.45
McPherson1.0115.000.061.0113.000.07nanana0.070.20
Melbourne2.351.500.612.401.500.62nanana0.617.40
Melbourne Ports5.001.150.813.601.220.75nanana0.78-4.00
Menzies1.0126.000.041.0117.000.06nanana0.05-4.30
Mitchell1.0113.000.071.0113.000.07nanana0.077.45
Moncrieff1.0210.000.091.0117.000.06nanana0.078.20
Moore1.0151.000.021.0113.000.07nanana0.05-2.80
Moreton1.402.700.341.851.900.49nanana0.42-2.20
Murray1.0151.000.02nananananana0.02-4.30
New England1.0113.000.071.0113.000.07nanana0.077.05
Newcastle6.001.100.853.501.250.74nanana0.79-8.10
North Sydney1.0117.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.061.95
O'Connor1.502.500.381.652.100.44nanana0.4121.90
Oxley4.001.200.775.501.100.83nanana0.80-1.25
Page1.752.000.471.851.850.50nanana0.48-4.45
Parkes1.0215.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.067.85
Parramatta1.901.800.512.001.720.54nanana0.53-4.10
Paterson1.0115.000.061.0111.000.08nanana0.07-4.30
Pearce1.0151.000.021.0117.000.06nanana0.04-2.80
Perth3.751.250.752.701.400.66nanana0.70-3.40
Petrie2.201.620.582.301.550.60nanana0.59-1.40
Port Adelaide17.001.010.9415.001.010.94nanana0.94-8.65
Rankin4.001.200.774.001.200.77nanana0.77-1.50
Reid1.402.750.341.452.500.37nanana0.35-4.75
Richmond3.201.300.712.801.350.67nanana0.69-4.35
Riverina1.0126.000.041.0113.000.07nanana0.05-5.20
Robertson1.154.750.191.125.500.17nanana0.18-6.05
Ryan1.0412.000.081.0212.000.08nanana0.08-1.65
Scullin13.001.010.9313.001.010.93nanana0.93-11.55
Shortland10.001.030.916.501.070.86nanana0.88-6.00
Solomon1.107.000.141.106.000.15nanana0.15-4.70
Stirling1.0315.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.06-4.00
Sturt1.0115.000.061.0211.000.08nanana0.07-6.15
Swan1.086.000.151.086.250.15nanana0.15-2.65
Sydney11.001.010.9211.001.030.91nanana0.92-8.55
Tangney1.0115.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.062.60
Throsby10.001.030.919.001.070.89nanana0.90-4.40
Wakefield6.001.100.855.251.120.82nanana0.83-5.00
Wannon1.0115.000.061.0121.000.05nanana0.05-4.30
Warringah1.0126.000.041.0117.000.06nanana0.05-5.20
Watson6.001.100.855.501.100.83nanana0.84-3.55
Wentworth1.0126.000.041.0117.000.06nanana0.05-5.20
Werriwa2.801.400.672.701.400.66nanana0.66-4.60
Wide Bay1.0215.000.061.0115.000.06nanana0.064.75
Wills15.001.030.9426.001.010.96nanana0.95-4.30
Wright1.0515.000.071.0610.000.10nanana0.081.45

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